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AHT: 12

14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.5%
Crook Town AFC
12.7%
Draw
78.8%
Witton Albion

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Crook Town AFC

vs
2.87

Witton Albion

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.551.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.9%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
0-1
7.1%
0-4
6.8%
1-4
5.8%
1-1
5.7%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
1-5
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).