Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Crewe
24.2%
Draw
24.2%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Crewe
vs
0.99
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).