Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Celta
18.6%
Draw
13.3%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Celta
vs
0.93
Almeria
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).