Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.3%
St Pauli
6.8%
Draw
4.9%
Corinthian
Expected Goals (xG)
4.47
St Pauli
vs
1.23
Corinthian
Markets
BTTS69.8%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.7%
Over 2.592.2%
Over 3.581.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-1
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
5-1
6.2%
4-0
5.6%
3-0
5.0%
5-0
5.0%
4-2
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
5-2
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).