Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Maidenhead
27.8%
Draw
28.6%
Kings Lynn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Maidenhead
vs
1.16
Kings Lynn
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).