Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Ajaccio
25.9%
Draw
43.7%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Ajaccio
vs
1.29
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).