Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Eibar
28.9%
Draw
16.5%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Eibar
vs
0.57
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.555.8%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.1%
0-0
15.2%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
0-2
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).