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AHT: 01CSV

31 Mar 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.9%
Magdeburg
23.8%
Draw
45.3%
Hannover

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Magdeburg

vs
1.92

Hannover

Markets

BTTS68.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.546.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
5.6%
0-2
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
2-3
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
2-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).