Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Spal
29.2%
Draw
43.8%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Spal
vs
1.41
Palermo
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).