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06 Apr 2024 · 18:00

Amiens

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.8%
Guingamp
18.8%
Draw
21.4%
Amiens

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Guingamp

vs
1.21

Amiens

Markets

BTTS61.5%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).