Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Port Vale
25.0%
Draw
23.8%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Port Vale
vs
0.93
Walsall
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).