Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
FC Koln
17.4%
Draw
62.5%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
FC Koln
vs
2.87
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS76.6%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.594.3%
Over 2.582.8%
Over 3.566.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
2-3
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
1-4
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
0-3
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
2-4
4.2%
3-2
3.4%
3-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).