Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Fredrikstad
24.0%
Draw
10.2%
Hoddesdon Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Fredrikstad
vs
0.45
Hoddesdon Town
Markets
BTTS28.5%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.9%
2-0
16.5%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
3.9%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-2
1.6%
4-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).