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AHT: 01CSV

16 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.4%
Southend
30.9%
Draw
27.7%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Southend

vs
0.97

Bromley

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).