Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.5%
Scunthorpe
8.8%
Draw
4.7%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
3.37
Scunthorpe
vs
0.73
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.577.6%
Over 3.558.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.6%
2-0
9.4%
4-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-0
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
3.9%
3-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).