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30 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.2%
Hartlepool
27.1%
Draw
44.7%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Hartlepool

vs
1.55

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).