Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Ceuta
29.1%
Draw
33.1%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Ceuta
vs
1.03
Leganes
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).