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DHT: 00CSV

01 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.5%
Standard
33.4%
Draw
26.0%
Mouscron

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Standard

vs
0.79

Mouscron

Markets

BTTS36.5%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.5%
1-0
15.9%
1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).