Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Sochi
26.6%
Draw
39.2%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Sochi
vs
1.58
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).