Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.1%
Ceuta
24.8%
Draw
23.1%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Ceuta
vs
0.97
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).