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DHT: 22

11 Aug 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.2%
Puszcza Niepołomice
25.4%
Draw
48.4%
Legia Warszawa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Puszcza Niepołomice

vs
1.75

Legia Warszawa

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).