Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Sheffield Weds
26.7%
Draw
55.9%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.62
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
11.6%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).