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AHT: 02

02 Sept 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.2%
Shildon AFC
17.4%
Draw
61.4%
Witton Albion

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Shildon AFC

vs
2.64

Witton Albion

Markets

BTTS72.6%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.578.6%
Over 3.559.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
1-1
6.0%
2-3
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
1-4
4.8%
0-3
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
2-4
3.7%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).