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DHT: 01CSV

24 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Bristol Rvs
28.2%
Draw
42.0%
Stevenage

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Bristol Rvs

vs
1.13

Stevenage

Markets

BTTS38.8%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.1%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
12.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).