Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Sampdoria
31.8%
Draw
20.1%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Sampdoria
vs
0.73
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
11.0%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).