Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Pordenone
30.5%
Draw
39.3%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Pordenone
vs
1.27
Benevento
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).