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20 Dec 2023 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.2%
Leganes
33.6%
Draw
21.2%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Leganes

vs
0.60

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS28.7%
Over 0.580.3%
Over 1.548.0%
Over 2.522.2%
Over 3.58.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.4%
0-0
19.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
3.6%
0-2
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).