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27 May 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.1%
Albacete
25.8%
Draw
22.0%
Mirandes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Albacete

vs
0.88

Mirandes

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).