Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Dender
25.1%
Draw
51.5%
Charleroi
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Dender
vs
1.73
Charleroi
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
5.1%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).