Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Hoffenheim
22.7%
Draw
36.0%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Hoffenheim
vs
1.79
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS71.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).