Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.5%
Lorient
13.0%
Draw
10.5%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Lorient
vs
0.97
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
1-0
6.8%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
5-0
3.4%
5-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).