Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Celta
24.2%
Draw
24.0%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Celta
vs
1.11
Betis
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).