Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Carlisle
19.5%
Draw
12.5%
Wealdstone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Carlisle
vs
0.90
Wealdstone
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.8%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).