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DHT: 10CSV

26 Jan 2020 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.8%
Venezia
20.6%
Draw
10.6%
Trapani

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

Venezia

vs
0.72

Trapani

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).