Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Genk
25.0%
Draw
37.3%
Anderlecht
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Genk
vs
1.51
Anderlecht
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).