Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Motherwell
27.9%
Draw
30.7%
Celtic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Motherwell
vs
1.15
Celtic
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).