Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Cambridge
25.3%
Draw
40.2%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Cambridge
vs
1.38
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).