Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Sutton
30.8%
Draw
21.2%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Sutton
vs
0.78
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.5%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).