Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Lecco
28.5%
Draw
49.7%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Lecco
vs
1.51
Brescia
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.1%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).