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14 Dec 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.4%
Genk
25.5%
Draw
30.1%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Genk

vs
1.27

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).