Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.6%
Benfica
19.3%
Draw
11.1%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Benfica
vs
0.61
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).