Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Elfsborg
24.2%
Draw
53.0%
Malmö FF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Elfsborg
vs
1.94
Malmö FF
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).