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AHT: 01CSV

30 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.5%
Forest Green
22.6%
Draw
56.9%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Forest Green

vs
1.74

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.5%
1-1
10.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).