Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Las Palmas
28.9%
Draw
37.2%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Las Palmas
vs
1.21
Girona
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).