Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Elgin
28.7%
Draw
39.2%
Forfar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Elgin
vs
1.54
Forfar
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
0-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).