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27 Feb 2026 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.8%
Albacete
24.4%
Draw
41.8%
Almeria

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Albacete

vs
1.54

Almeria

Markets

BTTS58.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).