Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Chelsea
24.7%
Draw
18.9%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Chelsea
vs
1.06
Fulham
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).