Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Millwall
28.3%
Draw
18.9%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Millwall
vs
0.79
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).