Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Hoffenheim
21.1%
Draw
20.4%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Hoffenheim
vs
1.28
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS65.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
3.6%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).