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19 Sept 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.6%
Leganes
29.3%
Draw
31.2%
Crowborough Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Leganes

vs
1.06

Crowborough Athletic

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).